The 2025 Club World Cup quarter-final match between Real Madrid (Spain) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on July 5 at the MetLife Stadium in New York (USA). Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Spaniards faced difficulties only at the start of the 2025 Club World Cup, dropping points in a 1-1 draw with Al-Hilal. However, the team has since secured victories, defeating Pachuca (3-1) and Salzburg (3-0) in the group stage and Juventus in the round of 16 (1-0). The win against the Italians was achieved through an aggressive attacking performance, with Madrid taking 21 shots on target. Notably, Real has never lost in regular time at the Club World Cup.
- Madrid has won by at least two goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 games in this tournament.
- Real has scored at least three goals in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 9 matches at the Club World Cup.
- The team has won the second half in 9 of their last 11 matches at the Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dean Donny Huijsen, Antonio Rüdiger, Fran García – Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Federico Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Gonzalo García, Arda Güler.
Defenders David Alaba and Ferland Mendy, as well as midfielder Eduardo Camavinga and forward Endrick Felipe, will miss the game due to injuries.
Borussia Dortmund
The Germans overcame Monterrey 2-1 in the previous playoff stage. Interestingly, the Mexicans were superior in several statistical categories, but Nico Kovac's team was more effective in attack. Like Real, Borussia has never lost in the Club World Cup: Dortmund has one draw and three wins, all by a margin of exactly one goal.
- Dortmund has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 11 matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup (7 wins and 3 draws).
- Borussia has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 9 of their last 11 games in these tournaments.
- The team has not lost the first half in their last five matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup (4 wins and 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Waldemar Anton, Niklas Süle – Julian Ryerson, Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Groß – Karim Adeyemi, Job Bellingham, Serhou Guirassy.
Forward Jamie Bynoe-Gittens' participation is in doubt due to illness. Midfielder Job Bellingham will not play due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Ramon Abatti (Brazil)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund
The opponents know each other well, as they often meet in the UEFA Champions League. Last year, the teams played in the UEFA Champions League final, where Madrid won 2-0. In October, the opponents met again in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage, with the Spaniards once more emerging victorious, but this time in a more entertaining and high-scoring encounter, finishing 5-2.
I expect the upcoming match to be filled with goals. At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the last 12 encounters between Madrid and Dortmund in the European Champions League. Furthermore, such scoring was recorded in 11 of Real's last 14 games in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup, as well as in 5 of Borussia's last 7 matches in these tournaments.
I believe that two attacking teams, familiar with each other, will not play defensively, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
