The quarter-final match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Real Madrid (Spain) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on July 5 at MetLife Stadium in New York, USA. Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Spaniards encountered difficulties only at the start of the 2025 Club World Cup, dropping points in a 1-1 draw with Al-Hilal. However, the team has since been victorious, defeating Pachuca (3-1) and Salzburg (3-0) in the group stage and Juventus in the round of 16 (1-0). Madrid managed to overcome the Italians thanks to an aggressive attacking performance, registering 21 shots on target. Notably, Real Madrid has never lost in regulation time at the Club World Cup (15 wins and 4 draws).
- Madrid has won by at least a two-goal margin in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- Real has scored at least three goals in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 9 Club World Cup matches.
- The team has won the second half in 9 of their last 11 matches at the Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dean Donny Huijsen, Antonio Rüdiger, Fran García – Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Federico Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Gonzalo García, Arda Güler.
Defenders David Alaba and Ferland Mendy, as well as midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, will not play due to injuries.
Borussia Dortmund
The Germans overcame Monterrey 2-1 in the previous playoff stage. Interestingly, the Mexicans outperformed in several statistical categories, but Nico Kovac's side was more effective in attack. Like Real, Borussia has never lost in the Club World Cup: Dortmund has one draw and three wins, all achieved with a one-goal margin.
- Dortmund has not lost in regulation time in 10 of their last 11 matches in the UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup (7 wins and 3 draws).
- Borussia has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 9 of their last 11 games in these tournaments.
- The team has not lost the first half in their last five matches in the UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup (4 wins and 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Waldemar Anton, Niklas Süle – Julian Ryerson, Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Groß – Karim Adeyemi, Jobe Bellingham, Serhou Guirassy.
Forward Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is doubtful due to illness. Midfielder Jobe Bellingham will not play due to a suspension for yellow card accumulation.
Referee
Ramon Abatti (Brazil)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund
The opponents know each other well, having frequently met in the UEFA Champions League. Last year, the teams played in the UEFA Champions League final, where Madrid triumphed 2-0. In October, they faced off in the group stage of the 2024/25 Champions League, with the Spaniards again emerging victorious in a more thrilling and high-scoring encounter, 5-2.
I expect the upcoming match to be filled with goals. At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the last 12 meetings between Madrid and Dortmund in the European Champions League. Additionally, this level of scoring was recorded in 11 of Real's last 14 games in the UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup, as well as in 5 of Borussia's last 7 matches in these tournaments.
Considering both teams are attacking and familiar with each other, I anticipate an open game, thus my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
